At this time of year, the best way to suggest who to buy and who to sell is by discussing players the context of their Average Draft Position. With that mind, here are some players who jumped out at me as I looked at the most recent ADPs from our friends at. BUY Javier Vazquez, SP, Braves — Perhaps Shabazz Muhammad Jersey favorite sleeper at pitcher, there is no way Vazquez should be on the board at pick 140, his current ADP. People are drafting him there based on last year’s stats, ignoring that he’s moving to a better pitcher’s park and gets to face the pitcher scrubby pinch hitter every ninth batter rather than a DH. Factor that Vazquez has been durable and dependable for years now and he’s a great buy anywhere near his current ADP. Harang, SP, Reds — Harang was terrific 2006 and 2007, posting at least 230 IP, 216 Ks, and 16 wins each. Yet people are shying away from him this year based on last year’s stats, leaving him on the board until pick 157. That’s a mistake. Harang’s 2008 was the outlier, not the prior years. Go get him. Tulowitzki, SS, Rockies — What’s the difference between Tulo and Dodgers shortstop Furcal? Both had injury-riddled 2008s, yet Furcal Thaddeus Young Jersey seems to have been given a, whereas fantasy owners are punishing Tulowitzki. I ‘t see how Furcal is four rounds better than Tulo. If forced to choose between the two, I suppose I’d prefer Furcal and the steals that he brings to the table, but Tulo is younger, yet to enter his prime, and probably a safer bet to stay healthy. Tulo’s a bargain at 104. HOLD Johan, SP, Mets — Personally, I wouldn’t draft any pitcher at 19 overall. But despite a recent scare about elbow pain, it seems like is going to be. If the injury scare makes him fall into the fourth round of a standard mixed league, that’s when I’d take the plunge. If you like him before that, then take note of his declining strikeout rate.

This number is a little more scary when you remember that moved to the NL last year and thus should have seen a K spike, considering how often opposing pitchers strike out. SELL Rodriguez, RP, Mets — It’s never a good idea to pay for saves, as they are fickle. Also consider that K- is coming off a 62-save that he won’t come close to duplicating, that he just got a big payday, that J.J. Putz was elite closer not long ago and that Rodriguez just moved into the bright lights of New York. Then let someone draft him at 76 overall. I much prefer, Robinson Cano or Joey Votto. Lance Berkman, 1B, Astros — It’s not that I ‘t like Berkman; I do. It’s just that I ‘t want him for second-round pick, which is where he’s currently getting drafted. He’s not unlikely to duplicate his ridiculous first half from last, nor he steal 18 bags again. At age 33, his stats start declining, the same way that NFL running backs start declining as they approach age 30. I expect Berkman to be at or under his counting stats for 2007, which means you can do better with your second-round pick. Pass on Berkman and take Evan Longoria. Ryan, 1B, Phillies — It’s not that I ‘t want 45 HRs and 140 RBI. It’s that I ‘t want to use a late first round or early second round selection on a guy who is going to hit about.255 over 550 at bats. You can’t hit much better than this when you’re striking out 200 times a year. Avoiding bad batting average is especially important keeper leagues, where some owners rebuild at midseason and thus make it easier to make up counting stats like homers and RBI. This also often happens non-keeper leagues where weak owners pack it after. Give me Teixeira or B.J. Upton instead.

Taking a into the at-bat, Votto made that a fleeting memory by lining ‘s 1 pitch into center field for the game-winner. blew it open with a bases-loaded single that added two more runs, as nine men batted the bottom of the eighth. Everybody makes this big deal about Opening Day. the standings, it could be the least important day of the year, said. But it’s awesome to get that win and get the momentum going the right way. Especially coming back, the way we won was great. I think it shows everyone we’re capable of coming back and stealing a game from guys. Cozart had all three of his hits vs. Hellickson, while the rest of the Reds’ lineup went hitless vs. the Phillies’ starter. But the could not maintain that success the late innings, while the Reds’ three scoreless innings of relief made it possible for Cincinnati to battle back and win. It was embarrassing, Hernandez said after loading the bases to start the eighth. I wasn’t able to throw anything over the plate, quality pitches. It’s unfortunate. MOMENTS THAT MATTERED Big day for Cozart: his first regular- game since blowing out his right knee on 10, also vs. the Phillies, Cozart came back strong fashion with three hits. After his leadoff double the first, he scored unearned run when first baseman Ryan dropped a throw from shortstop Freddy Galvis on Suarez’s grounder.